Uncertainty is certain. It’s part of life.
Of course, we’re living through a time that feels more uncertain than most. But one way to deal with uncertainty is with strategies that can help you make fast, clear decisions.
I recently read two new books about making better decisions. Not only will I recommend them, but we’re also going to send copies to three subscribers of the Tiller Money Memo.
In Perfectly Confident: How to Calibrate Your Decisions Wisely, Don Moore, Professor at Berkeley’s Haas School of Business, writes about how “the key to success is to avoid being both over- and under-confident.”
He shows that “too much confidence produces blunders, but too little leads to missed opportunities.” A new idea (to me) in this book is the idea of “well-calibrated, adaptive confidence that can elevate all areas of our lives.”
Listen to an interview with Don Moore: “Beat Overconfidence Bias by Considering What You’re Neglecting“
“If you want to make smarter decisions about the future—for yourself and your organization—Perfectly Confident is an essential read.”Daniel H. Pink, author of When and Drive
The Biggest Bluff
In The Biggest Bluff: How I Learned to Pay Attention, Master Myself, and Win, author Maria Konnikova had never played poker before she studied with a master of the game. Under his guidance, she learned how better read herself and her opponents, how to identify emotions that clouded good decisions, and how to better understand luck.
She won so much, she eventually became a professional poker player.
““One of the most extraordinary outcomes of any experiment in participatory journalism. This is a book not just about the game of poker, but about the meaning of luck, the science of skill, and the psychology of outsmarting your competitors.”—Joshua Foer, author of Moonwalking with Einstein
Both books are fun to read, even by the pool or beach (especially if you’re a money nerd.)
How the drawing works:
- To qualify, you must be subscribed to the Tiller Money Memo.
- We’ll pick three random email addresses on the morning of 8/12.
- I’ll email the winners to get their mailing addresses (US only.)
- Tiller Money will send a copy of each book in hardcover.
I hope you win, and enjoy reading these books in a comfortable place with a drink somewhere.
That much is certain!